Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ben Saunders enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Peter Sobotta (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Peter SobottaL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Steve Kennedy · Jun 15W
vs Nicolas Dalby · Sep 16L
KOvs Leon Edwards · Mar 18L
vs Alex Oliveira · Jul 20 Ben SaundersL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Jake Ellenberger · Jun 18L
SUBvs Sergio Moraes · Sep 18L
KOvs Lyman Good · Nov 18L
KOvs Takashi Sato · Apr 19L
KOvs Matt Brown · Dec 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Peter SobottaMetricBen Saunders
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.76evenly matched on net striking-0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Peter SobottaBen Saunders
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Peter Sobotta(9 fights)Ben Saunders(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +8.0|Blue -8.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +134.0|Blue -134.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Peter SobottaTargetBen Saunders
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Peter Sobotta edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control1:02
Knockdowns2
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Peter Sobotta edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns1
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
