Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Payton Talbott has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Payton Talbott has 77pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Payton Talbott (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Payton TalbottW2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Nick Aguirre · Nov 23W
KOvs Cameron Saaiman · Mar 24L
vs Raoni Barcelos · Jan 25W
vs Henry Cejudo · Dec 25 Yanis Ghemmouri
oldest →L
KOvs William Gomis · Sep 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Payton TalbottMetricYanis Ghemmouri
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+3.21Δ 6.06 — meaningful gap-2.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Payton TalbottYanis Ghemmouri
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Payton Talbott(6 fights)Yanis Ghemmouri(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +46.9|Blue -46.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +2.0|Blue -2.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -203.0|Blue +203.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Payton TalbottTargetYanis Ghemmouri
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Payton Talbott edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
