Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Rodriguez (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kevin LeeL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Rafael Dos Anjos · May 19W
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Nov 19L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Mar 20L
SUBvs Rinat Fakhretdinov · Jul 23 Daniel RodriguezW3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Ian Machado Garry · May 23L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jun 24W
KOvs Santiago Ponzinibbio · May 25W
vs Kevin Holland · Jul 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kevin LeeMetricDaniel Rodriguez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.28Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap+1.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kevin LeeDaniel Rodriguez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kevin Lee(10 fights)Daniel Rodriguez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -54.4|Blue +54.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +490.0|Blue -490.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Kevin LeeTargetDaniel Rodriguez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Kevin Lee edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control1:59
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Daniel Rodriguez edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns1
Control0:33
51Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:41Control
Round 3Daniel Rodriguez edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control1:02
53Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
