Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ryan Bader enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Anthony Johnson is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Ryan Bader has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Ryan Bader has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Anthony Johnson has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony Johnson
oldest →W
KOvs Alexander Gustafsson · Jan 15L
SUBvs Daniel Cormier · May 15W
KOvs Jimi Manuwa · Sep 15W
KOvs Glover Teixeira · Aug 16L
SUBvs Daniel Cormier · Apr 17 Ryan BaderW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Ovince Saint Preux · Aug 14W
vs Rashad Evans · Oct 15W
KOvs Ilir Latifi · Sep 16W
KOvs Rogerio Nogueira · Nov 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony JohnsonMetricRyan Bader
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.42evenly matched on net striking+1.43
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Anthony JohnsonRyan Bader
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Johnson(10 fights)Ryan Bader(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +28.0|Blue -28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Anthony JohnsonTargetRyan Bader
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Anthony Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control1:13
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
