Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Trevor Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Caio MagalhaesL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Karlos Vemola · Jun 13W
KOvs Luke Zachrich · Apr 14L
SUBvs Josh Samman · Jul 15L
vs Brad Tavares · Sep 16 Trevor SmithL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Andrew Sanchez · Dec 16W
vs Chris Camozzi · May 17L
vs Elias Theodorou · May 18L
vs Zak Cummings · Dec 18L
KOvs Makhmud Muradov · Dec 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Caio MagalhaesMetricTrevor Smith
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.51evenly matched on net striking-0.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Caio MagalhaesTrevor Smith
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Caio Magalhaes(7 fights)Trevor Smith(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -20.7|Blue +20.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.2|Blue +2.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +91.0|Blue -91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Caio MagalhaesTargetTrevor Smith
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Caio Magalhaes edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
