Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ryan LaFlare (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ryan LaFlareL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Roan Carneiro · Feb 17L
KOvs Alex Oliveira · Jul 17L
KOvs Anthony Rocco Martin · Oct 18 Alex Garcia
oldest →L
KOvs Sean Strickland · Feb 16W
SUBvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ryan LaFlareMetricAlex Garcia
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.03Δ 2.25 — meaningful gap-1.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ryan LaFlareAlex Garcia
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ryan LaFlare(10 fights)Alex Garcia(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +122.9|Blue -122.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +126.0|Blue -126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ryan LaFlareTargetAlex Garcia
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ryan LaFlare edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control1:45
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Alex Garcia edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control2:39
2Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
1:29Control
Round 3Alex Garcia edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:02
3Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:37Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
