Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Marvin Vettori enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jared Cannonier (54.1%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marvin VettoriL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Robert Whittaker · Sep 22W
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 23L
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 25L
vs Brendan Allen · Jul 25L
vs Brunno Ferreira · Dec 25 latest Jared CannonierL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Jun 24L
vs Caio Borralho · Aug 24W
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 25L
vs Michael Page · Aug 25L
DECvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Jul 26 latest Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marvin VettoriMetricJared Cannonier
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.19evenly matched on net striking+0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Marvin VettoriJared Cannonier
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marvin Vettori(10 fights)Jared Cannonier(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -13.9|Blue +13.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -91.0|Blue +91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marvin VettoriTargetJared Cannonier
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Marvin Vettori edged it
Sig. strikes38
Takedowns0
Control0:00
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Jared Cannonier edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
82Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:46Control
Round 3Jared Cannonier edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns1
Control0:23
49Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:43Control
Round 4Even round
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control0:00
32Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:34Control
Round 5Jared Cannonier edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:05
49Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:04Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.