Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karlos Vemola enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Karlos Vemola threatens submissions; Mike Massenzio has lost 75% of fights by sub.
- Mike Massenzio has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mike Massenzio has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mike Massenzio (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mike Massenzio
oldest →L
SUBvs Brian Stann · Aug 10L
vs Krzysztof Soszynski · Jun 11W
vs Steve Cantwell · Oct 11L
SUBvs Rousimar Palhares · Jan 12 Karlos VemolaL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Seth Petruzelli · Nov 10L
vs Ronny Markes · Aug 11L
SUBvs Francis Carmont · Jul 12L
SUBvs Caio Magalhaes · Jun 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mike MassenzioMetricKarlos Vemola
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.51Δ 1.05 — meaningful gap-0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mike MassenzioKarlos Vemola
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mike Massenzio(5 fights)Karlos Vemola(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -153.0|Blue +153.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mike MassenzioTargetKarlos Vemola
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mike Massenzio edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control2:35
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:24Control
Round 2Karlos Vemola edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:02
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:41Control
