Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jussier Formiga enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jussier Formiga has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sergio Pettis
oldest →W
vs Brandon Moreno · Aug 17L
vs Henry Cejudo · Dec 17W
vs Joseph Benavidez · Jun 18 Jussier FormigaL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Ben Nguyen · Feb 18W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Mar 19L
KOvs Joseph Benavidez · Jun 19L
vs Brandon Moreno · Mar 20L
KOvs Alex Perez · Jun 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sergio PettisMetricJussier Formiga
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.97Δ 1.89 — meaningful gap-0.92
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sergio PettisJussier Formiga
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sergio Pettis(10 fights)Jussier Formiga(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +107.0|Blue -107.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.8|Blue -2.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -119.0|Blue +119.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sergio PettisTargetJussier Formiga
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:26Control
Round 2Jussier Formiga edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:48Control
Round 3Jussier Formiga edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
4:11Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
