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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Wellington Turman won · U-DEC R3

Elo1395

Elo1484

Wellington Turman editorial illustration

Markus PerezvsWellington TurmanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · Saturday, November 16, 2019Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil

Official fight result

Wellington Turman won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Wellington Turman wins(60.8%)

Actual result: Wellington Turman wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Wellington Turman at -155 American odds

+$65 profit

$165 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Wellington Turman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Markus Perez has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Markus Perez

Red Corner

Wellington Turman

Blue Corner

+135

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-155

(61%)

1395

Elo

1484

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'0"

185.42 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Markus PerezL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs James Bochnovic · May 18

vs Andrew Sanchez · Aug 18

SUBvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 19

KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Oct 20

vs Dalcha Lungiambula · Jan 21

latest

Wellington TurmanL3 streak

oldest →

vs Sam Alvey · Aug 21

SUBvs Misha Cirkunov · Feb 22

vs Andre Petroski · Nov 22

vs Randy Brown · Jun 23

SUBvs Jared Gooden · Dec 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Markus PerezMetricWellington Turman

2.60

Strikes / min

3.23

3.72

Strikes absorbed / min

4.17

52%

Strike defense

45%

0.81

TDs / 15 min

1.55

77%

Takedown defense

42%

1.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.12evenly matched on net striking-0.94

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Markus PerezWellington Turman

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Markus Perez(7 fights)Wellington Turman(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -89.8|Blue +89.8

Recent Form

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +161.0|Blue -161.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Markus PerezTargetWellington Turman

By target zone

46% acc · 67%

Head

34% acc · 73%

62% acc · 27%

Body

67% acc · 17%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

100% acc · 10%

By position

39% acc · 53%

Distance

25% acc · 48%

81% acc · 43%

Clinch

90% acc · 40%

67% acc · 4%

Ground

75% acc · 13%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Markus Perez rounds

even

Wellington Turman rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:34

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:24Control

Round 2Wellington Turman edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:31

23Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:40Control

Round 3Wellington Turman edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:16

16Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:38Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

49 / 96

Sig Strikes

48 / 120

50%

Sig Str %

38.3%

56 / 103

Total Strikes

59 / 132

0 / 1

TDs

2 / 9

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

1:21

Ctrl Time

6:42

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Wellington Turman	9 / 35	9 / 35	0 / 5
1	Markus Perez	12 / 29	13 / 30	0 / 0
2	Wellington Turman	23 / 48	28 / 53	1 / 2
2	Markus Perez	15 / 31	18 / 34	0 / 1
3	Wellington Turman	16 / 37	22 / 44	1 / 2
3	Markus Perez	22 / 36	25 / 39	0 / 0

Markus Perez

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7

Wellington Turman

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights9