Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Charles Rosa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Kyle Bochniak enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Kyle Bochniak has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Kyle Bochniak has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Charles Rosa (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Charles RosaL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Darrick Minner · Feb 21W
vs Justin Jaynes · Jun 21L
vs Damon Jackson · Oct 21L
vs Nathaniel Wood · Jul 22 Kyle BochniakL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Jeremy Kennedy · Jul 17W
vs Brandon Davis · Jan 18L
vs Zabit Magomedsharipov · Apr 18L
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Dec 18L
vs Sean Woodson · Oct 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Charles RosaMetricKyle Bochniak
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.78Δ 1.70 — meaningful gap-2.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Charles RosaKyle Bochniak
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Charles Rosa(10 fights)Kyle Bochniak(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +53.3|Blue -53.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.9|Blue +48.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.4|Blue +49.4
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Charles RosaTargetKyle Bochniak
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns0
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:23Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Charles Rosa edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns1
Control0:28
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:16Control
Round 3Charles Rosa edged it
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns0
Control0:33
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
