Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Terrion Ware enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Merab Dvalishvili has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Merab Dvalishvili
oldest →W
vs Sean O'Malley · Sep 24W
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 25W
SUBvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 25W
vs Cory Sandhagen · Oct 25 Terrion WareL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Cody Stamann · Jul 17L
vs Sean O'Malley · Dec 17L
vs Tom Duquesnoy · Mar 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Merab DvalishviliMetricTerrion Ware
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.62Δ 3.67 — meaningful gap-2.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Merab DvalishviliTerrion Ware
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Merab Dvalishvili(10 fights)Terrion Ware(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +175.0|Blue -175.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Merab DvalishviliTargetTerrion Ware
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Merab Dvalishvili rounds
Round 1Merab Dvalishvili edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns2
Control4:01
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Merab Dvalishvili edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns2
Control2:58
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Merab Dvalishvili edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns1
Control4:33
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
