Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mateusz Gamrot has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mateusz Gamrot (53.5%).
- Diego Ferreira has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Diego FerreiraL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · May 21W
KOvs Michael Johnson · May 23W
KOvs Mateusz Rebecki · May 24L
vs Grant Dawson · Jan 25L
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Sep 25 Mateusz Gamrot
oldest →W
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Mar 24W
vs Ludovit Klein · May 25L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Oct 25W
SUBvs Esteban Ribovics · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Diego FerreiraMetricMateusz Gamrot
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.24evenly matched on net striking+0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Diego FerreiraMateusz Gamrot
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Diego Ferreira(10 fights)Mateusz Gamrot(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -35.8|Blue +35.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +70.0|Blue -70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Diego FerreiraTargetMateusz Gamrot
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mateusz Gamrot edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
0:27Control
Round 2Diego Ferreira edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:38Control
