Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Adriano Martins has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Adriano Martins (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rustam Khabilov
oldest →W
vs Desmond Green · Sep 17W
vs Kajan Johnson · Sep 18L
vs Diego Ferreira · Feb 19W
vs Sergey Khandozhko · Nov 19 Adriano MartinsL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Jan 14W
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Oct 15L
vs Leonardo Santos · Oct 16L
KOvs Kajan Johnson · Sep 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rustam KhabilovMetricAdriano Martins
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.18evenly matched on net striking-0.34
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rustam KhabilovAdriano Martins
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rustam Khabilov(10 fights)Adriano Martins(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +130.2|Blue -130.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +29.0|Blue -29.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Rustam KhabilovTargetAdriano Martins
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Adriano Martins edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:40Control
Round 2Rustam Khabilov edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Adriano Martins edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:06
4Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:19Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
