Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rafael Natal enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Rafael Natal has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rich Attonito
oldest →W
KOvs Jamie Yager · Jun 10L
vs David Branch · Dec 10W
vs Daniel Roberts · Jun 11L
KOvs Jake Hecht · Dec 11 Rafael NatalL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Kevin Casey · Jan 16L
vs Robert Whittaker · Apr 16L
KOvs Tim Boetsch · Nov 16L
KOvs Eryk Anders · Jul 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rich AttonitoMetricRafael Natal
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.15evenly matched on net striking+0.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rich AttonitoRafael Natal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rich Attonito(5 fights)Rafael Natal(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +129.1|Blue -129.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Rich AttonitoTargetRafael Natal
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Rich Attonito edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:08
Knockdowns1
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:44Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Rafael Natal edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:52Control
Round 3Rich Attonito edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control3:08
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
