Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jamahal Hill enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Thiago Santos is a KO finisher (79% of wins). Jamahal Hill has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jamahal Hill (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago Santos
oldest →L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Nov 20L
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Mar 21W
vs Johnny Walker · Oct 21L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 22 Jamahal HillL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Johnny Walker · Feb 22W
vs Glover Teixeira · Jan 23L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Apr 24L
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Jan 25L
vs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Jun 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago SantosMetricJamahal Hill
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.15Δ 1.01 — meaningful gap+2.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Thiago SantosJamahal Hill
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Santos(10 fights)Jamahal Hill(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -53.2|Blue +53.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Thiago SantosTargetJamahal Hill
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Thiago Santos edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control1:23
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Jamahal Hill edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control0:41
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:22Control
Round 3Thiago Santos edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns5
Control3:50
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:33Control
Round 4Jamahal Hill edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
40Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:31Control
