Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Conor McGregor enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Conor McGregor is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Diego Brandao has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Conor McGregor (53.5%).
- Conor McGregor has a 25cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Conor McGregorL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Khabib Nurmagomedov · Oct 18W
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Jan 20L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Jan 21L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Jul 21L
KOvs Max Holloway · Jul 26 Diego Brandao
oldest →W
vs Daniel Pineda · Aug 13L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Dec 13W
KOvs Jimy Hettes · Apr 15W
KOvs Katsunori Kikuno · Sep 15L
SUBvs Brian Ortega · Jan 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Conor McGregorMetricDiego Brandao
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.66Δ 1.10 — meaningful gap-0.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Conor McGregorDiego Brandao
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Conor McGregor(10 fights)Diego Brandao(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -16.4|Blue +16.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +133.0|Blue -133.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Conor McGregorTargetDiego Brandao
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Conor McGregor edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns1
Control2:21
Knockdowns1
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:22Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
