Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Magomed Mustafaev is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Rafael Fiziev has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Rafael Fiziev has 67pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rafael Fiziev (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Magomed MustafaevL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Piotr Hallmann · Jun 15W
KOvs Joe Proctor · Dec 15L
SUBvs Kevin Lee · Nov 16L
vs Brad Riddell · Feb 20 Rafael Fiziev
oldest →L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Sep 23L
vs Justin Gaethje · Mar 25W
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Jun 25L
KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · Jan 26W
KOvs Manuel Torres · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Magomed MustafaevMetricRafael Fiziev
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.09evenly matched on net striking-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Magomed MustafaevRafael Fiziev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Magomed Mustafaev(5 fights)Rafael Fiziev(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -17.1|Blue +17.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.1|Blue +49.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Magomed MustafaevTargetRafael Fiziev
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Magomed Mustafaev rounds
Round 1Magomed Mustafaev edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
