Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Luis Henrique threatens submissions; Ryan Spann has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Ryan Spann has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Luis HenriqueL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Dec 15W
SUBvs Dmitrii Smoliakov · Jul 16W
SUBvs Christian Colombo · Nov 16L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Mar 17L
vs Arjan Bhullar · Sep 17 Ryan SpannW2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Apr 24W
SUBvs Ovince Saint Preux · Oct 24L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Mar 25W
SUBvs Lukasz Brzeski · Jul 25W
KOvs Marcus Buchecha · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Luis HenriqueMetricRyan Spann
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.41evenly matched on net striking-0.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Luis HenriqueRyan Spann
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Luis Henrique(6 fights)Ryan Spann(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -151.1|Blue +151.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.1|Blue +49.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Luis HenriqueTargetRyan Spann
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Luis Henrique edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns2
Control0:57
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:21Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control2:14
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:56Control
Round 3Ryan Spann edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control1:53
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:50Control
