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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Carlos Condit won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1494
Carlos Condit
Elo1491
Dong Hyun Kim

Carlos ConditvsDong Hyun KimUFC Prediction Result

UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · Saturday, July 2, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Carlos Condit won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:58

Style matchupCarlos Condit: Elusive strikervsDong Hyun Kim: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Dong Hyun Kim wins(53.4%)

Actual result: Carlos Condit wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dong Hyun Kim at -111 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Carlos Condit is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Dong Hyun Kim has lost 75% of fights by KO.
  • Dong Hyun Kim has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Dong Hyun Kim (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Carlos Condit
Red Corner
VS
Dong Hyun Kim
Blue Corner
+101
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-111
(53%)
1494
Elo
1491
42
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'2"
Height
6'2"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Carlos Condit
oldest →
L
SUBvs Alex Oliveira · Apr 18
L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Dec 18
W
vs Court McGee · Oct 20
W
vs Matt Brown · Jan 21
L
vs Max Griffin · Jul 21
latest
Dong Hyun Kim
oldest →
L
KOvs Tyron Woodley · Aug 14
W
SUBvs Joshua Burkman · May 15
W
KOvs Dominic Waters · Nov 15
W
vs Tarec Saffiedine · Dec 16
L
vs Colby Covington · Jun 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Carlos ConditMetricDong Hyun Kim
3.66
Strikes / min
2.12
2.67
Strikes absorbed / min
1.89
55%
Strike defense
58%
0.59
TDs / 15 min
2.93
38%
Takedown defense
71%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.99evenly matched on net striking+0.23

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1535 vs 1538Strikes40.0 vs 31.0Takedowns1.0 vs 3.5Sub Atts1.25 vs 0.67Form1.0 vs 1.0
Carlos ConditDong Hyun Kim

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Carlos Condit(10 fights)Dong Hyun Kim(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +2.8|Blue -2.8
Recent Form
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Carlos ConditTargetDong Hyun Kim

By target zone

7
41% acc · 88%
Head
1
20% acc · 100%
0
0% acc
Body
0
0% acc
1
33% acc · 13%
Leg
0

By position

3
20% acc · 38%
Distance
1
17% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
5
83% acc · 63%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Carlos Condit rounds
0
even
0
Dong Hyun Kim rounds
Round 1Carlos Condit edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:09
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:14Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
8 / 21
Sig Strikes
1 / 6
38%
Sig Str %
16%
9 / 22
Total Strikes
1 / 6
0 / 0
TDs
1 / 1
—
TD %
100%
1
Sub Att
0
1
Rev
0
0:09
Ctrl Time
0:14

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Dong Hyun Kim1 / 61 / 61 / 10
1Carlos Condit8 / 219 / 220 / 01

Carlos Condit

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights17

Dong Hyun Kim

StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights14