Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Cormier has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Daniel Cormier has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Derrick Lewis has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daniel CormierL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Anthony Johnson · Apr 17W
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jan 18W
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Jul 18L
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Aug 19L
vs Stipe Miocic · Aug 20 Derrick LewisL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26L
KOvs Josh Hokit · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daniel CormierMetricDerrick Lewis
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.33Δ 1.44 — meaningful gap-0.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Daniel CormierDerrick Lewis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daniel Cormier(10 fights)Derrick Lewis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -93.7|Blue +93.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.8|Blue -1.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +91.0|Blue -91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Daniel CormierTargetDerrick Lewis
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Daniel Cormier edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns2
Control4:10
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Daniel Cormier edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns2
Control1:00
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
