Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex White is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Rafael Fiziev has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Alex White has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Rafael Fiziev has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rafael Fiziev (54.1%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex White
oldest →L
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Jan 17W
KOvs Mitch Clarke · Sep 17L
vs James Krause · Jan 18L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Sep 18 Rafael Fiziev
oldest →L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Sep 23L
vs Justin Gaethje · Mar 25W
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Jun 25L
KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · Jan 26W
KOvs Manuel Torres · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex WhiteMetricRafael Fiziev
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.69evenly matched on net striking-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alex WhiteRafael Fiziev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex White(10 fights)Rafael Fiziev(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -17.4|Blue +17.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.3|Blue -2.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alex WhiteTargetRafael Fiziev
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Rafael Fiziev edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:14
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:31Control
Round 2Rafael Fiziev edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:40
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:07
21Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:51Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
