Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anthony Smith enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Vitor Petrino enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Vitor Petrino has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Anthony SmithL4 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Dec 23L
vs Roman Dolidze · Jun 24L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Dec 24L
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Apr 25 Vitor PetrinoW3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Dec 24W
SUBvs Austen Lane · Jul 25W
KOvs Thomas Petersen · Oct 25W
vs Steven Asplund · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Anthony SmithMetricVitor Petrino
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.85Δ 2.38 — meaningful gap+0.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Anthony SmithVitor Petrino
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Anthony Smith(10 fights)Vitor Petrino(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -58.0|Blue +58.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +84.0|Blue -84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Anthony SmithTargetVitor Petrino
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Vitor Petrino edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:14Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
