Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ashley Yoder enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Justine Kish has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ashley Yoder has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ashley Yoder (53.5%).
- Ashley Yoder has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Justine KishL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Felice Herrig · Jun 17W
DECvs Luci Pudilova · Jan 20L
SUBvs Sabina Mazo · Sep 20L
vs Tracy Cortez · Apr 21 Ashley YoderL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Livinha Souza · Aug 20W
vs Miranda Granger · Nov 20L
vs Jinh Yu Frey · Jul 21L
vs Emily Ducote · Oct 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Justine KishMetricAshley Yoder
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.08evenly matched on net striking-0.71
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Justine KishAshley Yoder
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Justine Kish(7 fights)Ashley Yoder(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -80.5|Blue +80.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Justine KishTargetAshley Yoder
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Justine Kish edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control1:09
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:26Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control2:51
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:46Control
Round 3Justine Kish edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns1
Control1:27
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:49Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
