Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brad Tavares has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Antonio Carlos Junior has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brad TavaresL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 24L
vs JunYong Park · Oct 24W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 25L
KOvs Robert Bryczek · Sep 25 Antonio Carlos JuniorL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Marvin Vettori · Dec 16W
SUBvs Jack Marshman · Oct 17W
SUBvs Tim Boetsch · Apr 18L
vs Ian Heinisch · May 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brad TavaresMetricAntonio Carlos Junior
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.09evenly matched on net striking-0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brad TavaresAntonio Carlos Junior
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brad Tavares(10 fights)Antonio Carlos Junior(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +86.0|Blue -86.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brad TavaresTargetAntonio Carlos Junior
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Antonio Carlos Junior rounds
Round 1Antonio Carlos Junior edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:47Control
Round 2Brad Tavares edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:05
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:11Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:30Control
