Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Carlos Ulberg enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Ihor Potieria enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Carlos Ulberg is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Ihor Potieria has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Carlos Ulberg has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ihor Potieria (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Carlos UlbergW5 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · May 24W
vs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 24W
vs Jan Blachowicz · Mar 25W
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Sep 25W
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Apr 26 Ihor PotieriaL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Rodolfo Bellato · Dec 23W
vs Robert Bryczek · Feb 24L
SUBvs Michel Pereira · May 24L
vs Cesar Almeida · Oct 24L
KOvs Marco Tulio · Jan 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Carlos UlbergMetricIhor Potieria
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.54Δ 3.06 — meaningful gap-0.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Carlos UlbergIhor Potieria
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Carlos Ulberg(10 fights)Ihor Potieria(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +93.2|Blue -93.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +70.0|Blue -70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Carlos UlbergTargetIhor Potieria
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Carlos Ulberg edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:08
Knockdowns1
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
