Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vince Morales enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Vince MoralesL5 streak
oldest →L
vs Taylor Lapilus · Sep 24L
vs Elijah Smith · Feb 25L
vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Mar 25L
DECvs Colby Thicknesse · May 26 Drako Rodriguez
oldest →L
KOvs Aiemann Zahabi · Feb 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Vince MoralesMetricDrako Rodriguez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.37evenly matched on net striking-1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Vince MoralesDrako Rodriguez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Vince Morales(10 fights)Drako Rodriguez(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +49.1|Blue -49.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +266.0|Blue -266.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Vince MoralesTargetDrako Rodriguez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Vince Morales edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:14
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Drako Rodriguez edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns1
Control0:15
17Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
1:13Control
Round 3Vince Morales edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control0:11
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
