Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jack Della Maddalena has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jack Della Maddalena (52.9%).
- Kevin Holland has a 20cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kevin Holland
oldest →W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 25W
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Jun 25L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 25W
DECvs Randy Brown · Apr 26 Jack Della MaddalenaL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Bassil Hafez · Jul 23W
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 24W
vs Belal Muhammad · May 25L
vs Islam Makhachev · Nov 25L
KOvs Carlos Prates · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kevin HollandMetricJack Della Maddalena
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.03evenly matched on net striking+1.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Kevin HollandJack Della Maddalena
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kevin Holland(10 fights)Jack Della Maddalena(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +4.0|Blue -4.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Kevin HollandTargetJack Della Maddalena
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Jack Della Maddalena rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns0
Control0:00
41Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Kevin Holland edged it
Sig. strikes49
Takedowns0
Control0:00
34Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Kevin Holland edged it
Sig. strikes38
Takedowns0
Control0:00
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
