Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Maryna Moroz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mariya Agapova (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Maryna MorozL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Mar 20L
vs Jennifer Maia · Nov 22L
SUBvs Karine Silva · Aug 23 Mariya AgapovaL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Hannah Cifers · Jun 20L
KOvs Shana Dobson · Aug 20W
SUBvs Sabina Mazo · Oct 21L
SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Sep 22L
SUBvs Luana Santos · Jul 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Maryna MorozMetricMariya Agapova
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.47Δ 1.28 — meaningful gap+0.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Maryna MorozMariya Agapova
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Maryna Moroz(10 fights)Mariya Agapova(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +2.0|Blue -2.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +574.0|Blue -574.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Maryna MorozTargetMariya Agapova
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control3:28
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:39Control
Round 2Maryna Moroz edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns1
Control3:15
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
