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Flyweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Henry Cejudo won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1472

Elo1496

Henry CejudovsTJ DillashawUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · Saturday, January 19, 2019Brooklyn, New York, USA

Official fight result

Henry Cejudo won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:32

Style matchupHenry Cejudo: Well-roundedvsTJ Dillashaw: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: TJ Dillashaw wins(68.3%)

Actual result: Henry Cejudo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

TJ Dillashaw at -225 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Henry Cejudo enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Henry Cejudo

Red Corner

TJ Dillashaw

Blue Corner

+185

(35%)

Vegas Odds

-225

(69%)

1472

Elo

1496

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'6"

162.56 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Henry CejudoL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Dominick Cruz · May 20

vs Aljamain Sterling · May 23

vs Merab Dvalishvili · Feb 24

vs Song Yadong · Feb 25

vs Payton Talbott · Dec 25

latest

TJ Dillashaw

oldest →

vs John Lineker · Dec 16

KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Nov 17

KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Aug 18

vs Cory Sandhagen · Jul 21

KOvs Aljamain Sterling · Oct 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Henry CejudoMetricTJ Dillashaw

3.83

Strikes / min

5.09

3.84

Strikes absorbed / min

3.47

57%

Strike defense

62%

1.78

TDs / 15 min

1.56

72%

Takedown defense

77%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.01Δ 1.63 — meaningful gap+1.62

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Henry CejudoTJ Dillashaw

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Henry Cejudo(10 fights)TJ Dillashaw(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -23.5|Blue +23.5

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Henry CejudoTargetTJ Dillashaw

By target zone

77% acc · 94%

Head

0% acc

100% acc · 6%

Body

Leg

50% acc · 100%

By position

50% acc · 17%

Distance

33% acc · 100%

Clinch

88% acc · 83%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Henry Cejudo rounds

even

TJ Dillashaw rounds

Round 1Henry Cejudo edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

18 / 23

Sig Strikes

1 / 3

78%

Sig Str %

33%

18 / 23

Total Strikes

1 / 3

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:09

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	TJ Dillashaw	1 / 3	1 / 3	0 / 0	0
1	Henry Cejudo	18 / 23	18 / 23	0 / 0	0

Henry Cejudo

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights16

TJ Dillashaw

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights18