Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Howard enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Cathal Pendred has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cathal Pendred
oldest →W
SUBvs Mike King · Jul 14W
vs Gasan Umalatov · Oct 14W
vs Sean Spencer · Jan 15W
vs Augusto Montano · Jun 15L
KOvs Tom Breese · Oct 15 John HowardL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Siyar Bahadurzada · Dec 13L
vs Ryan LaFlare · Apr 14L
vs Brian Ebersole · Sep 14L
KOvs Lorenz Larkin · Jan 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cathal PendredMetricJohn Howard
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.52evenly matched on net striking-0.93
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cathal PendredJohn Howard
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cathal Pendred(6 fights)John Howard(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -134.9|Blue +134.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -146.0|Blue +146.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cathal PendredTargetJohn Howard
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:04Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:12
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 3John Howard edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:32
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:23Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
