Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yancy Medeiros enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Yancy Medeiros threatens submissions; Sean Spencer has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Sean Spencer has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Yancy MedeirosL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Alex Oliveira · Dec 17L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Feb 18L
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Jan 19L
vs Lando Vannata · Feb 20L
vs Damir Hadzovic · Jun 21 Sean SpencerL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Paulo Thiago · Sep 14L
vs Cathal Pendred · Jan 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Yancy MedeirosMetricSean Spencer
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.31Δ 1.53 — meaningful gap+0.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Yancy MedeirosSean Spencer
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Yancy Medeiros(10 fights)Sean Spencer(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +45.0|Blue -45.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -98.0|Blue +98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Yancy MedeirosTargetSean Spencer
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Yancy Medeiros edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:16
Knockdowns2
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
