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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Charles Jourdain won · SUB R2

Elo1529

Elo1508

Charles JourdainvsVictor HenryUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Saturday, November 2, 2024Edmonton, Alberta, Canada

Official fight result

Charles Jourdain won

SUB · Round 2 · 3:43

Style matchupCharles Jourdain: Pressure fightervsVictor Henry: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Victor Henry wins(60.2%)

Actual result: Charles Jourdain wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Victor Henry enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Charles Jourdain threatens submissions; Victor Henry has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Victor Henry has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Charles Jourdain

Red Corner

Victor Henry

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1529

Elo

1508

Age

Switch

Stance

Switch

5'9"

Height

5'7"

175.26 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Charles JourdainW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Ricardo Ramos · Sep 23

vs Sean Woodson · Jan 24

KOvs Jean Silva · Jun 24

SUBvs Davey Grant · Oct 25

DECvs Kyler Phillips · Apr 26

latest

Victor HenryW3 streak

oldest →

vs Raoni Barcelos · Jan 22

vs Raphael Assuncao · Oct 22

vs Tony Gravely · Mar 23

KOvs Rani Yahya · Apr 24

vs Pedro Falcao · Apr 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Charles JourdainMetricVictor Henry

5.36

Strikes / min

7.17

4.11

Strikes absorbed / min

5.19

56%

Strike defense

48%

0.38

TDs / 15 min

1.04

46%

Takedown defense

81%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.25evenly matched on net striking+1.98

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Charles JourdainVictor Henry

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Charles Jourdain(10 fights)Victor Henry(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +21.7|Blue -21.7

Recent Form

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -63.0|Blue +63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Charles JourdainTargetVictor Henry

By target zone

39% acc · 49%

Head

27% acc · 33%

78% acc · 36%

Body

65% acc · 46%

100% acc · 15%

Leg

71% acc · 21%

By position

50% acc · 79%

Distance

43% acc · 92%

73% acc · 21%

Clinch

50% acc · 4%

Ground

100% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Charles Jourdain rounds

even

Victor Henry rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control0:17

18Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:18Control

Round 2Victor Henry edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:00

6Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:31Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

39 / 73

Sig Strikes

24 / 54

50%

Sig Str %

41%

50 / 87

Total Strikes

39 / 75

0 / 2

TDs

4 / 6

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

0:17

Ctrl Time

3:49

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Victor Henry	18 / 34	28 / 45	2 / 4	0
1	Charles Jourdain	28 / 46	38 / 59	0 / 2	0
2	Victor Henry	6 / 20	11 / 30	2 / 2	0
2	Charles Jourdain	11 / 27	12 / 28	0 / 0	1

Charles Jourdain

StanceSwitch

Height69.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights15

Victor Henry

StanceSwitch

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights6