Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Renato Moicano has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Benoit Saint Denis (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Renato Moicano
oldest →W
KOvs Jalin Turner · Apr 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jan 25L
vs Beneil Dariush · Jun 25W
SUBvs Chris Duncan · Apr 26 Benoit Saint Denis
oldest →W
SUBvs Kyle Prepolec · May 25W
SUBvs Mauricio Ruffy · Sep 25W
KOvs Beneil Dariush · Nov 25W
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jan 26L
SUBvs Paddy Pimblett · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Renato MoicanoMetricBenoit Saint Denis
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.55evenly matched on net striking+1.53
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Renato MoicanoBenoit Saint Denis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Renato Moicano(10 fights)Benoit Saint Denis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -23.5|Blue +23.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Renato MoicanoTargetBenoit Saint Denis
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Benoit Saint Denis rounds
Round 1Renato Moicano edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns1
Control4:37
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Benoit Saint Denis edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:16
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
