Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Kelades has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ray Borg
oldest →L
SUBvs Demetrious Johnson · Oct 17L
vs Casey Kenney · Mar 19W
vs Gabriel Silva · Jul 19W
vs Rogerio Bontorin · Feb 20 Chris Kelades
oldest →W
vs Paddy Holohan · Oct 14L
vs Sergio Pettis · Apr 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ray BorgMetricChris Kelades
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.41evenly matched on net striking-0.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ray BorgChris Kelades
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ray Borg(10 fights)Chris Kelades(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.9|Blue -1.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +98.0|Blue -98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ray BorgTargetChris Kelades
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ray Borg edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns3
Control4:08
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:37Control
Round 2Ray Borg edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control4:43
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Ray Borg edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control2:50
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
