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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Andre Petroski won · U-DEC R3

Elo1483

Elo1485

Rodolfo VieiravsAndre PetroskiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · Saturday, February 15, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Andre Petroski won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRodolfo Vieira: WrestlervsAndre Petroski: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Andre Petroski wins(59.7%)

Actual result: Andre Petroski wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Andre Petroski at +220 American odds

+$220 profit

$320 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Andre Petroski enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Andre Petroski has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Andre Petroski (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Rodolfo Vieira

Red Corner

Andre Petroski

Blue Corner

-270

(73%)

Vegas Odds

+220

(31%)

1483

Elo

1485

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

6'0"

Height

6'0"

185.42 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rodolfo VieiraL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Cody Brundage · Apr 23

SUBvs Armen Petrosyan · Feb 24

vs Tresean Gore · Aug 25

KOvs Bo Nickal · Nov 25

DECvs Eric McConico · Apr 26

latest

Andre PetroskiL3 streak

oldest →

vs Josh Fremd · Jul 24

vs Dylan Budka · Sep 24

vs Edmen Shahbazyan · Jun 25

KOvs Cam Rowston · Sep 25

KOvs Cody Brundage · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rodolfo VieiraMetricAndre Petroski

3.43

Strikes / min

2.81

4.28

Strikes absorbed / min

2.79

49%

Strike defense

53%

2.87

TDs / 15 min

3.15

60%

Takedown defense

86%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

1.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.85evenly matched on net striking+0.02

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rodolfo VieiraAndre Petroski

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rodolfo Vieira(10 fights)Andre Petroski(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.7|Blue +1.7

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +210.0|Blue -210.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rodolfo VieiraTargetAndre Petroski

By target zone

47% acc · 53%

Head

36% acc · 47%

75% acc · 10%

Body

54% acc · 13%

84% acc · 36%

Leg

85% acc · 40%

By position

57% acc · 91%

Distance

50% acc · 98%

83% acc · 9%

Clinch

Ground

50% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rodolfo Vieira rounds

even

Andre Petroski rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:24

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 2Rodolfo Vieira edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:27

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Rodolfo Vieira edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns1

Control0:59

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

58 / 99

Sig Strikes

55 / 111

57.7%

Sig Str %

49%

60 / 101

Total Strikes

58 / 114

1 / 11

TDs

0 / 2

8.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:50

Ctrl Time

0:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Andre Petroski	13 / 34	13 / 34	0 / 1
1	Rodolfo Vieira	14 / 26	14 / 26	0 / 4
2	Andre Petroski	22 / 37	23 / 38	0 / 0
2	Rodolfo Vieira	24 / 40	24 / 40	0 / 3
3	Andre Petroski	20 / 40	22 / 42	0 / 1
3	Rodolfo Vieira	20 / 33	22 / 35	1 / 4

Rodolfo Vieira

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights11

Andre Petroski

StanceSwitch

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights12