Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sam Stout enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- John Makdessi has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sam StoutL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs James Krause · Jun 13W
vs Cody McKenzie · Dec 13L
KOvs Ross Pearson · Mar 15L
KOvs Frankie Perez · Aug 15 John MakdessiL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Jesus Pinedo · Mar 19L
vs Francisco Trinaldo · Mar 20W
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Apr 21L
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Sep 22L
vs Jamie Mullarkey · Sep 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sam StoutMetricJohn Makdessi
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.09Δ 1.28 — meaningful gap+1.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sam StoutJohn Makdessi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sam Stout(10 fights)John Makdessi(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -120.7|Blue +120.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -62.0|Blue +62.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sam StoutTargetJohn Makdessi
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1John Makdessi edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:00
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2John Makdessi edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:00
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3John Makdessi edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
