Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Paul Craig enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Gadzhimurad Antigulov enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Paul Craig has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Paul Craig has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paul CraigL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Nov 23L
KOvs Caio Borralho · May 24L
vs Rodolfo Bellato · Jun 25L
KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Sep 25 Gadzhimurad AntigulovL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Nov 16W
SUBvs Joachim Christensen · May 17L
KOvs Ion Cutelaba · Jul 18L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Apr 19L
KOvs Maxim Grishin · Oct 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paul CraigMetricGadzhimurad Antigulov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.54Δ 1.59 — meaningful gap-2.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Paul CraigGadzhimurad Antigulov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paul Craig(10 fights)Gadzhimurad Antigulov(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +82.8|Blue -82.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -154.0|Blue +154.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Paul CraigTargetGadzhimurad Antigulov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Gadzhimurad Antigulov rounds
Round 1Gadzhimurad Antigulov edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:41Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
