Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tai Tuivasa enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Tai Tuivasa is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Cyril Asker has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Cyril Asker threatens submissions; Tai Tuivasa has lost 30% of fights by sub.
- Cyril Asker has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tai Tuivasa (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tai TuivasaL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Alexander Volkov · Sep 23L
SUBvs Marcin Tybura · Mar 24L
vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 24L
vs Tallison Teixeira · Jan 26L
DECvs Louie Sutherland · May 26 Cyril Asker
oldest →L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Apr 16W
KOvs Dmitrii Smoliakov · Jan 17L
KOvs Walt Harris · Jun 17W
SUBvs Hu Yaozong · Nov 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tai TuivasaMetricCyril Asker
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.24Δ 1.23 — meaningful gap-2.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Tai TuivasaCyril Asker
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tai Tuivasa(10 fights)Cyril Asker(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -38.3|Blue +38.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tai TuivasaTargetCyril Asker
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Tai Tuivasa edged it
Sig. strikes38
Takedowns0
Control0:24
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
