Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Daukaus enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Derrick Lewis is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Chris Daukaus has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Chris Daukaus is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Derrick Lewis has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Chris Daukaus has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Chris Daukaus has 48pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derrick LewisL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26L
KOvs Josh Hokit · Jun 26 Chris DaukausL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Feb 21W
KOvs Shamil Abdurakhimov · Sep 21L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Mar 22L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Dec 22L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Aug 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derrick LewisMetricChris Daukaus
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.11Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap+1.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Derrick LewisChris Daukaus
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derrick Lewis(10 fights)Chris Daukaus(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +10.6|Blue -10.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +49.0|Blue -49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Derrick LewisTargetChris Daukaus
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Derrick Lewis edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns1
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
