Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Felipe Colares enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Luke Sanders has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Luke Sanders has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Luke Sanders (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Luke Sanders
oldest →L
KOvs Andre Soukhamthath · Dec 17W
vs Patrick Williams · Apr 18L
SUBvs Rani Yahya · Aug 18W
KOvs Renan Barao · Feb 19L
SUBvs Nate Maness · Nov 20 Felipe ColaresL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Geraldo de Freitas · Feb 19W
vs Domingo Pilarte · Jul 19L
vs Montel Jackson · Jan 20L
vs Chris Gutierrez · Oct 21L
KOvs Chase Hooper · May 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Luke SandersMetricFelipe Colares
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.24Δ 4.72 — meaningful gap-2.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Luke SandersFelipe Colares
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Luke Sanders(8 fights)Felipe Colares(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -25.7|Blue +25.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.0|Blue -2.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -308.0|Blue +308.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Luke SandersTargetFelipe Colares
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Luke Sanders edged it
Sig. strikes48
Takedowns0
Control1:39
Knockdowns1
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:34Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Luke Sanders edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns1
Control0:42
25Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:45Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns1
Control0:34
37Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:35Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
