Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Germaine de Randamie has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Holly Holm (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Holly Holm
oldest →W
vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 20W
vs Irene Aldana · Oct 20L
vs Ketlen Vieira · May 22L
SUBvs Kayla Harrison · Apr 24 Germaine de Randamie
oldest →W
KOvs Anna Elmose · May 16W
vs Raquel Pennington · Nov 18L
vs Amanda Nunes · Dec 19W
SUBvs Julianna Pena · Oct 20L
vs Norma Dumont · Apr 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Holly HolmMetricGermaine de Randamie
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.21evenly matched on net striking+0.57
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Holly HolmGermaine de Randamie
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Holly Holm(10 fights)Germaine de Randamie(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -76.0|Blue +76.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Holly HolmTargetGermaine de Randamie
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Germaine de Randamie rounds
Round 1Holly Holm edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:36
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control2:21
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:17Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:07
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:15Control
Round 4Even round
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control2:33
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 5Holly Holm edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control2:39
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
