Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Hatsu HiokiL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Darren Elkins · Aug 13W
vs Ivan Menjivar · Mar 14L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 14L
KOvs Dan Hooker · May 15 Ricardo Lamas
oldest →L
KOvs Josh Emmett · Dec 17L
vs Mirsad Bektic · Jun 18W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Nov 18L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · Jun 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Hatsu HiokiMetricRicardo Lamas
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.30evenly matched on net striking+0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Hatsu HiokiRicardo Lamas
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Hatsu Hioki(8 fights)Ricardo Lamas(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -138.0|Blue +138.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -105.0|Blue +105.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Hatsu HiokiTargetRicardo Lamas
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Hatsu Hioki edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns2
Control2:19
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:14Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control3:13
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control1:49
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
