Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Nick Ring (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nick Ring
oldest →W
SUBvs James Head · Jun 11L
vs Chris Camozzi · Mar 13 Caio MagalhaesL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Karlos Vemola · Jun 13W
KOvs Luke Zachrich · Apr 14W
KOvs Trevor Smith · Nov 14L
SUBvs Josh Samman · Jul 15L
vs Brad Tavares · Sep 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nick RingMetricCaio Magalhaes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.04evenly matched on net striking-0.51
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nick RingCaio Magalhaes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nick Ring(6 fights)Caio Magalhaes(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -5.2|Blue +5.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +84.0|Blue -84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nick RingTargetCaio Magalhaes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nick Ring edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns2
Control1:42
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:19Control
Round 2Caio Magalhaes edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control1:07
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:49Control
Round 3Caio Magalhaes edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:35Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
