Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jessica Penne enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Karolina KowalkiewiczL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · May 23W
vs Diana Belbita · Oct 23L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · May 24L
vs Denise Gomes · Nov 24L
KOvs Julia Polastri · Oct 25 Jessica PenneL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Danielle Taylor · Apr 17W
vs Loopy Godinez · Apr 21L
vs Emily Ducote · Jul 22L
SUBvs Tabatha Ricci · Mar 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Karolina KowalkiewiczMetricJessica Penne
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.23Δ 2.19 — meaningful gap-2.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Karolina KowalkiewiczJessica Penne
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Karolina Kowalkiewicz(10 fights)Jessica Penne(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -8.3|Blue +8.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.8|Blue +1.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.6|Blue -2.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +420.0|Blue -420.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Karolina KowalkiewiczTargetJessica Penne
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Karolina Kowalkiewicz rounds
Round 1Jessica Penne edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control0:26
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:13Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
