Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ivan JorgeL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Keith Wisniewski · Sep 13L
vs Rodrigo Damm · Feb 14L
SUBvs Joe Duffy · Jul 15 Josh Shockley
oldest →L
KOvs Jason Saggo · Jun 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ivan JorgeMetricJosh Shockley
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.50evenly matched on net striking-0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ivan JorgeJosh Shockley
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ivan Jorge(4 fights)Josh Shockley(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +136.1|Blue -136.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.4|Blue -2.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +119.0|Blue -119.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ivan JorgeTargetJosh Shockley
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ivan Jorge edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns2
Control3:22
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:32Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control1:12
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Ivan Jorge edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control1:33
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:49Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
