Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Carlos Ulberg enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Dominick Reyes enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Carlos Ulberg is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Dominick Reyes has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dominick Reyes (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Carlos UlbergW5 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Da Woon Jung · Sep 23W
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · May 24W
vs Volkan Oezdemir · Nov 24W
vs Jan Blachowicz · Mar 25W
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Apr 26 Dominick ReyesW4 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Ryan Spann · Nov 22W
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Jun 24W
KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 24W
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Apr 25W
DECvs Johnny Walker · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Carlos UlbergMetricDominick Reyes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.54evenly matched on net striking+1.59
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Carlos UlbergDominick Reyes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Carlos Ulberg(10 fights)Dominick Reyes(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +50.6|Blue -50.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Carlos UlbergTargetDominick Reyes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Carlos Ulberg edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
