Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Joaquim Silva (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jared GordonL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Mark Madsen · Nov 23L
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Jun 24W
KOvs Thiago Moises · May 25L
KOvs Rafa Garcia · Sep 25L
SUBvs Jim Miller · May 26 Joaquim Silva
oldest →W
KOvs Jesse Ronson · Oct 22L
KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Jun 23L
vs Drakkar Klose · May 24W
vs Claudio Puelles · Sep 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jared GordonMetricJoaquim Silva
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.46Δ 2.20 — meaningful gap-0.74
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jared GordonJoaquim Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jared Gordon(10 fights)Joaquim Silva(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -24.2|Blue +24.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -22.0|Blue +22.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jared GordonTargetJoaquim Silva
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jared Gordon edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns2
Control2:39
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Jared Gordon edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns1
Control1:45
25Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:38Control
Round 3Joaquim Silva edged it
Sig. strikes42
Takedowns0
Control0:00
51Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
