Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mark Striegl has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mark Striegl (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chas Skelly
oldest →W
SUBvs Maximo Blanco · Sep 16W
SUBvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Feb 17L
KOvs Jason Knight · May 17L
vs Bobby Moffett · Nov 18W
vs Jordan Griffin · Sep 19 Mark Striegl
oldest →L
KOvs Said Nurmagomedov · Oct 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chas SkellyMetricMark Striegl
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.20Δ 1.47 — meaningful gap-2.67
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Chas SkellyMark Striegl
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chas Skelly(10 fights)Mark Striegl(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +77.1|Blue -77.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +399.0|Blue -399.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Chas SkellyTargetMark Striegl
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Chas Skelly edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control2:51
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:15Control
Round 2Chas Skelly edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:52
Knockdowns1
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
