Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ryan Hall enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Ilia Topuria has 93pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ryan Hall (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ryan HallW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Gray Maynard · Dec 16W
vs Darren Elkins · Jul 19W
vs Darrick Minner · Dec 21 Ilia Topuria
oldest →W
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Feb 24W
KOvs Max Holloway · Oct 24W
KOvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 25L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ryan HallMetricIlia Topuria
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.05evenly matched on net striking+0.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ryan HallIlia Topuria
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ryan Hall(6 fights)Ilia Topuria(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -25.3|Blue +25.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +511.0|Blue -511.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ryan HallTargetIlia Topuria
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ilia Topuria edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:20Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
